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Red41
411810.6
58729.7
105611.1
Blue21
541010.6
93005.3
547223.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060801004121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#14
11.10.9
10.511.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 12.0
5472
#13
23.11.4
23.722.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Second
4118
#39
10.60.8
9.810.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Level
5410
#16
10.61.4
11.610.1
Auto5.6
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Third
5872
#10
9.70.6
9.710.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 4.5
9300
#41
5.31.9
7.25.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed