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Red20
238319.5
87887.3
94936.6
Blue46
514513.3
541010.6
255615.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463502060801001201402046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#18
19.51.7
20.719.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 3.7
2556
#11
15.81.5
12.213.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
8788
#26
7.32.8
10.17.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 6.0
5145
#20
13.31.5
10.011.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
9493
#32
6.60.2
6.66.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 4.1
5410
#16
10.60.9
10.611.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed