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Red63
96989.2
581614.8
11833.8
Blue35
884118.1
457615.1
87785.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624120801006335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
33.80.6
30.931.6
Auto15.0
Teleop15.1
End3.7
red by 15.7
8841
#27
18.10.6
18.918.3
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Second
14.80.8
14.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 0.3
15.10.7
15.414.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
9698
#33
9.20.9
8.39.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End2.1
red by 4.2
8778
#40
5.00.6
5.65.0
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed