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Red66
884118.1
581614.8
527613.9
Blue43
255615.8
190217.4
75008.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446204060801006643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#27
18.10.1
18.318.3
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 0.7
1902
#37
17.40.0
17.617.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
14.80.1
15.215.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 1.0
2556
#11
15.80.0
16.116.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Third
5276
#23
13.90.1
14.314.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
red by 5.5
8.40.0
8.68.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End1.0