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Red42
2113.6
264114.9
514513.3
Blue31
527613.9
581614.8
105611.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845102030406070804231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#12
14.90.0
15.215.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 0.2
14.80.3
15.214.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
21
#8
13.60.0
13.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.6
blue by 0.3
5276
#23
13.90.3
14.314.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
5145
#20
13.30.0
13.613.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 2.3
1056
#14
11.10.3
11.411.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3