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Red60
18023.4
17930.3
7449.7
Blue78
555725.5
238320.7
881712.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726230405080901006078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
30.30.1
30.430.3
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
red by 4.8
5557
#10
25.50.5
25.025.5
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
180
#2
23.40.1
23.523.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 2.7
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
744
#32
9.70.1
9.89.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 2.5
8817
#28
12.20.5
11.812.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5