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Red72
7449.7
17930.3
18023.4
Blue58
555725.5
238320.7
881712.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716440506080901007258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
red by 4.8
5557
#10
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
180
#2
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 2.7
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
744
#32
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 2.5
8817
#28
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5