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Red22
238320.7
90408.1
97259.3
Blue41
7449.7
8069.7
445818.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534203040502241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.6
14.612.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 2.0
4458
#11
18.70.6
11.712.2
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Second
9725
#30
9.31.8
9.37.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
blue by 0.4
744
#32
9.70.6
10.611.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Third
9040
#23
8.11.6
7.96.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 1.6
806
#24
9.70.6
8.89.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed