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Red55
78336.7
18023.4
10822.9
Blue41
94048.8
445818.7
94029.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44340204060805541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
23.41.8
19.821.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 4.7
4458
#11
18.71.0
12.213.2
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Second
108
#5
22.91.8
12.013.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 13.8
9402
#35
9.11.0
9.510.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Third
7833
#36
6.71.8
7.08.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 2.1
9404
#29
8.81.0
9.911.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed