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Red27
97798.7
69419.1
7449.7
Blue73
438812.6
3487.0
10822.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060801002773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#7
19.11.2
16.515.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 3.8
108
#5
22.93.5
13.817.3
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Second
744
#32
9.71.2
9.78.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 2.9
12.63.5
12.215.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Third
9779
#22
8.71.2
8.06.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
red by 1.7
348
#37
7.03.5
5.89.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed