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Red69
631717.2
445818.7
69419.1
Blue21
97798.7
438812.6
58726.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522901020406070806921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#7
19.11.6
15.216.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 6.4
12.60.9
15.614.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Second
4458
#11
18.71.6
13.715.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 10.0
9779
#22
8.70.9
6.75.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
17.21.6
15.517.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End1.9
red by 10.6
5872
#33
6.60.9
6.96.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed