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Red8
17446.3
881712.2
78336.7
Blue80
10822.9
555725.5
238320.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3349102040607080880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8817
#28
12.22.6
11.99.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 13.2
5557
#10
25.53.1
12.015.1
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
7833
#36
6.72.6
8.76.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 16.2
108
#5
22.93.1
18.521.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Third
1744
#18
6.32.6
11.18.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
blue by 14.4
20.73.1
11.814.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed