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Red35
420614.2
10822.9
97259.3
Blue60
877516.5
94048.8
238320.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543810203050607080903560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
22.91.9
21.519.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 2.2
20.71.5
14.916.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Second
4206
#14
14.21.9
16.714.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 2.3
8775
#13
16.51.5
12.013.5
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
9725
#30
9.31.9
8.86.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 0.5
9404
#29
8.81.5
9.611.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned