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Red28
36275.1
420614.2
94029.1
Blue35
881712.2
90408.1
97798.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4024010203050602835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#14
14.21.4
14.813.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 1.9
8817
#28
12.21.1
11.612.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Second
9402
#35
9.11.4
13.111.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 0.4
9779
#22
8.71.1
3.54.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
3627
#39
5.11.4
6.24.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 2.9
9040
#23
8.11.1
8.29.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed