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Red11
78336.7
66866.5
94048.8
Blue12
88616.3
17446.3
90408.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21300104050601112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9404
#29
8.81.0
8.67.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
red by 0.7
9040
#23
8.11.4
9.27.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Second
7833
#36
6.71.0
6.35.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
red by 0.3
8861
#26
6.31.4
9.37.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
6686
#34
6.51.0
5.34.4
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 0.2
1744
#18
6.31.4
7.25.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed