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Red56
21529.6
438812.6
555725.5
Blue62
18023.4
445818.7
541010.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4860102030407080905662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#10
25.50.4
21.722.2
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
red by 2.1
180
#2
23.40.9
23.524.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
12.60.4
13.313.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 6.0
4458
#11
18.70.9
17.118.0
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
2152
#17
9.60.4
9.49.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 1.0
5410
#27
10.60.9
11.912.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed