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Red56
420614.2
317318.6
238320.7
Blue26
630019.2
94029.1
88616.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523301020406070805626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.1
16.918.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 1.5
6300
#16
19.20.6
15.014.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
3173
#15
18.61.1
14.415.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 9.5
9402
#35
9.10.6
9.69.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Third
4206
#14
14.21.1
13.714.7
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 7.8
8861
#26
6.30.6
7.97.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed