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Red43
445818.7
10822.9
17446.3
Blue30
765211.3
631717.2
584214.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5549203040607080904330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
22.90.5
23.723.3
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 5.7
17.21.1
18.617.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Second
4458
#11
18.70.5
18.918.5
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 4.7
5842
#12
14.01.1
14.613.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Third
1744
#18
6.30.5
6.56.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
blue by 5.0
7652
#38
11.31.1
12.111.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed