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Red58
438812.6
547223.9
90408.1
Blue55
881712.2
630019.2
17930.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394902060805855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.3
19.520.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.0
End1.0
blue by 6.4
179
#1
30.31.3
19.821.1
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Second
12.61.3
10.912.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 6.5
6300
#16
19.21.3
10.211.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
9040
#23
8.11.3
6.37.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 4.2
8817
#28
12.21.3
13.414.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed