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Red64
674320.1
317318.6
765211.3
Blue49
584214.0
393213.4
877516.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564710203040607080906449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
20.020.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End3.2
red by 3.7
8775
#13
16.50.1
16.416.5
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Second
3173
#15
18.60.3
18.418.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 4.6
5842
#12
14.00.1
13.914.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Third
7652
#38
11.30.3
11.211.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 2.0
3932
#19
13.40.1
13.213.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0