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Red70
881712.2
238320.7
555725.5
Blue57
69419.1
5918.8
630019.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62652040801001207057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#10
25.50.3
24.725.0
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
red by 6.3
6300
#16
19.20.4
19.519.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
20.70.3
19.920.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 1.6
694
#7
19.10.4
19.419.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Third
8817
#28
12.20.3
11.511.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 6.6
59
#21
18.80.4
19.218.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End1.9