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Red73
674320.1
317318.6
765211.3
Blue22
438812.6
631717.2
152312.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554710203040607080907322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
19.820.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End3.2
red by 2.9
17.20.5
17.517.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Second
3173
#15
18.60.3
18.318.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 5.8
1523
#20
12.80.5
13.112.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
7652
#38
11.30.3
11.011.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 1.3
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End0.9