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Red1
47302.9
69050.6
141424.2
Blue71
926020.6
691927.3
44687.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3450020406080100171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.1
21.619.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
27.31.8
22.724.5
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
Second
4730
#29
2.92.1
4.42.3
Auto1.4
Teleop0.3
End1.2
blue by 17.7
20.61.8
18.019.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
6905
#27
0.62.1
6.44.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
blue by 6.5
4468
#21
7.21.8
2.64.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed