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Red69
450927.0
44687.2
241517.7
Blue54
75147.0
126139.6
52196.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525401002003004005006006954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.5
26.828.2
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
blue by 12.6
39.60.3
35.835.5
Auto16.5
Teleop22.3
End0.9
Second
2415
#12
17.71.5
15.717.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
red by 10.7
7514
#22
7.00.3
7.06.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Third
4468
#21
7.21.5
4.55.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
red by 0.5
5219
#24
6.70.3
5.95.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed