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Red65
884912.6
926020.6
691927.3
Blue38
682914.9
363515.0
747010.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673702060801001206538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.6
24.825.3
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 12.3
15.00.1
14.714.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
20.60.6
20.721.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 5.7
6829
#10
14.90.1
14.214.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
12.60.6
11.311.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 2.3
7470
#18
10.30.1
7.87.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed