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Red48
52196.7
241517.7
411215.7
Blue33
602310.4
332910.1
44591.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270204060801004833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#12
17.70.6
16.316.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
red by 7.3
6023
#13
10.40.1
9.19.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Second
4112
#16
15.70.6
17.618.2
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
red by 5.6
3329
#11
10.10.1
11.511.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
5219
#24
6.70.6
5.15.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
red by 4.9
4459
#19
1.80.1
6.06.1
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed