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Red37
141424.2
747010.3
71048.2
Blue27
44687.2
332910.1
363515.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060803727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
21.621.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
red by 9.3
15.00.3
14.213.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
7470
#18
10.30.1
7.98.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 0.2
3329
#11
10.10.3
11.611.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
7104
#15
8.20.1
6.36.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
red by 1.1
4468
#21
7.20.3
6.15.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed