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Red31
69050.6
450927.0
332910.1
Blue103
582811.4
141424.2
177142.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4186020608010012031103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.8
27.927.1
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
blue by 15.4
42.41.7
41.743.4
Auto20.8
Teleop17.9
End3.7
Second
3329
#11
10.10.8
11.310.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 14.2
24.21.7
21.723.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
Third
6905
#27
0.60.8
3.62.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
blue by 10.8
5828
#17
11.41.7
9.311.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed