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Red37
411215.7
747010.3
75147.0
Blue52
33446.9
450927.0
141424.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30690204060801001203752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#16
15.70.3
16.717.1
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 11.3
27.00.7
27.126.4
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
7470
#18
10.30.3
8.68.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 13.9
24.20.7
23.322.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
Third
7514
#22
7.00.3
6.66.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 0.1
3344
#14
6.90.7
7.56.8
Auto4.5
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed