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Red40
926020.6
88156.6
582811.4
Blue74
747010.3
691927.3
241517.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060804074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.2
20.120.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 6.7
27.31.7
24.125.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
Second
5828
#17
11.40.2
11.411.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
blue by 6.3
2415
#12
17.71.7
15.517.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End1.0
Third
8815
#25
6.60.2
6.26.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.2
blue by 3.7
7470
#18
10.31.7
8.610.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed