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Red43
141424.2
602310.4
75147.0
Blue12
44591.8
884912.6
69050.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions461604060804312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
22.522.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
red by 11.6
12.61.1
13.612.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Second
6023
#13
10.40.3
9.59.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 8.6
4459
#19
1.81.1
2.91.8
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Third
7514
#22
7.00.3
6.16.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 6.4
6905
#27
0.61.1
1.70.6
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned