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Red16
747010.3
52196.7
76764.2
Blue20
75147.0
69050.6
44591.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210103040506070801620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7470
#18
10.30.1
5.75.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 3.3
7514
#22
7.00.1
5.75.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Second
5219
#24
6.70.1
5.65.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End0.9
red by 4.9
4459
#19
1.80.1
7.47.5
Auto1.1
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Third
7676
#20
4.20.1
6.46.2
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 3.6
6905
#27
0.60.1
5.96.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed