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Red40
88156.6
926020.6
450927.0
Blue51
332910.1
411215.7
582811.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801001204051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.3
26.326.0
Auto14.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
red by 11.3
4112
#16
15.70.2
15.515.7
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Second
20.60.3
20.019.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 9.2
5828
#17
11.40.2
11.211.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Third
8815
#25
6.60.3
6.05.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End1.2
blue by 3.4
3329
#11
10.10.2
9.910.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3