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Red60
141424.2
691927.3
76764.2
Blue45
332910.1
411215.7
582811.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6038020801001206045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.0
25.925.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 11.6
4112
#16
15.70.2
15.715.9
Auto9.3
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Second
24.20.0
22.822.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.5
End-0.1
red by 12.8
5828
#17
11.40.2
11.411.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Third
7676
#20
4.20.0
2.82.8
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 5.9
3329
#11
10.10.2
10.110.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3