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Red13
88657.6
510914.6
68875.3
Blue13
8327.7
694410.5
56514.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31140204060801313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
red by 4.1
6944
#11
10.5
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Second
8865
#29
7.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 0.1
832
#20
7.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
6887
#38
5.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
red by 0.9
5651
#33
4.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed