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Red32
95825.9
445125.6
56514.4
Blue33
90574.5
745123.9
44596.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334001020506070803233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
23.623.7
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
23.90.5
23.322.8
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
9582
#30
5.90.1
5.25.3
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 0.9
4459
#21
6.80.8
6.35.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Third
5651
#33
4.40.1
1.92.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 0.1
9057
#25
4.50.5
5.55.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed