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Red59
418824.6
590012.6
634021.7
Blue13
8327.7
81008.7
17954.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511604060801005913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.1
19.420.5
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
red by 15.9
8100
#22
8.70.4
6.15.7
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Second
21.71.1
13.814.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
red by 14.0
832
#20
7.70.4
6.66.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
5900
#14
12.61.1
8.910.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 8.1
1795
#23
4.50.4
6.15.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed