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Red32
529317.3
694410.5
58485.8
Blue8
45163.4
44596.8
87615.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302101040506070328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.1
12.712.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 10.5
4459
#21
6.81.9
9.17.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Second
6944
#11
10.50.1
4.74.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
red by 5.1
8761
#36
5.51.1
7.26.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
5848
#35DQ
5.80.1
8.78.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
red by 2.5
4516
#32
3.41.1
3.52.4
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed