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Red37
141419.1
45163.4
8327.7
Blue40
10024.6
402613.9
926017.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29300204060801003740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.4
17.717.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 2.0
9260
#18
17.20.2
15.315.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Second
832
#20
7.70.3
7.87.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 6.3
4026
#10
13.90.2
8.58.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
4516
#32
3.40.3
1.10.8
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 1.2
1002
#37
4.60.2
3.63.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed