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Red53
85775.3
418824.6
141419.1
Blue61
634021.7
402613.9
95007.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564020801005361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.1
24.524.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
red by 2.9
21.70.1
19.919.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
19.10.1
19.019.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 5.2
4026
#10
13.90.1
12.112.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
8577
#27
5.30.1
5.25.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 2.3
9500
#24
7.60.1
5.75.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3