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Red49
808014.7
30917.7
529317.3
Blue51
418910.1
510914.6
445125.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4260020801004951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.2
17.517.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 8.3
25.60.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
14.70.2
14.815.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Level
14.60.0
15.115.1
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Third
3091
#28
7.70.2
7.98.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
4189
#26
10.10.0
10.610.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0