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Red166
857522.6
177151.4
297446.3
Blue92
691929.7
445125.6
241523.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138805010015020016692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.0
50.551.6
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 21.7
29.70.3
30.030.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
Second
46.31.0
45.446.5
Auto13.9
Teleop32.0
End0.4
red by 20.7
4451
#16
25.60.3
26.026.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Third
8575
#14
22.61.0
21.722.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 1.0
2415
#19
23.60.3
23.323.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7