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Red48
950015.0
590015.6
402622.0
Blue56
948017.4
445125.6
174618.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801001204856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#25
22.00.9
14.615.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
blue by 3.6
4451
#16
25.60.1
25.525.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
5900
#30
15.60.9
12.213.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 2.6
1746
#40
18.20.1
13.012.9
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Third
9500
#20
15.00.9
8.08.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 2.4
9480
#24
17.40.1
13.413.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed