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Red43
241523.6
349015.9
753815.2
Blue59
332913.3
164821.3
682915.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6144020801001201404359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#19
23.60.7
19.518.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 2.3
1648
#23
21.31.1
15.016.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
3490
#44
15.90.7
18.517.8
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 0.6
6829
#21
15.31.1
14.715.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Third
7538
#42
15.20.7
15.514.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
red by 1.9
3329
#28
13.31.1
12.313.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed