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Red60
363523.6
34215.2
873615.3
Blue68
402622.0
381512.1
241523.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204060801001206068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#27
23.60.3
19.619.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
red by 0.1
2415
#19
23.61.7
19.421.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Second
8736
#43
15.30.3
14.714.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
blue by 6.7
4026
#25
22.01.7
15.817.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
Third
342
#47
15.20.3
13.913.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
red by 3.1
3815
#46
12.11.7
7.89.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed