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Red61
513020.0
857522.6
529320.5
Blue56
590015.6
110227.7
349015.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656140507080906156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#14
22.60.2
19.119.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 5.1
1102
#17
27.70.0
26.326.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
5293
#18
20.50.2
19.419.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
red by 4.6
3490
#44
15.90.0
16.116.1
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
5130
#35
20.00.2
19.619.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 4.3
5900
#30
15.60.0
13.513.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed