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Red51
529320.5
884917.2
926017.7
Blue42
95718.8
636627.8
510918.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64602040801005142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#18
20.50.8
20.920.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 7.3
27.81.0
25.524.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Second
9260
#41
17.70.8
20.419.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 0.4
5109
#34
18.11.0
17.316.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Third
8849
#10
17.20.8
16.215.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 8.4
9571
#38
8.81.0
11.610.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed