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Red68
453325.8
281516.5
753815.2
Blue96
141428.9
241523.6
634028.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58882040801001206896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.8
24.024.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
blue by 3.2
28.91.0
29.430.4
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
2815
#37
16.50.8
17.218.0
Auto10.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 11.6
28.11.0
25.026.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Third
7538
#42
15.20.8
14.415.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 8.3
2415
#19
23.61.0
21.322.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed