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Red82
590015.6
28122.2
174618.2
Blue58
381512.1
634028.1
952210.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801001208258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#26
22.20.8
22.323.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
blue by 5.9
28.10.5
26.026.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Second
1746
#40
18.20.8
16.016.8
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
red by 6.1
3815
#46
12.10.5
12.513.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Third
5900
#30
15.60.8
14.315.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 5.0
9522
#48
10.60.5
10.210.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed