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Red51
529320.5
691929.7
85778.0
Blue119
34215.2
411222.9
948017.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674902040608010012051119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.5
30.830.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
red by 6.7
4112
#31
22.92.8
20.623.4
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Second
5293
#18
20.50.5
20.219.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
red by 3.1
9480
#24
17.42.8
13.216.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Third
8577
#49
8.00.5
7.77.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 7.2
342
#47
15.22.8
12.715.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed